Recent Posts
The Fed cutting cycle began in November 2022. You just missed it. While you’ll hear a bunch of debate about whether the Fed will raise rates “25bps at the next …
I wrote up WDFC stock in 2021. The inspiration was wanting to know why TF WDFC stock always traded at such a rich multiple. Persistantly. It would not have been …
Intentionally or not, Fortune Brands has created a Good Co, Bad Co with their spin-out of Masterbrand Cabinets stock. It is very easy to be cautious on 2023 and say, …
I wrote a post at the beginning of the year that the bullwhip effect was what kept me up at night. It actually was one of my most-read posts thanks …
We all knew it was going to be bad, but it was worse. Bed, Bath & Beyond’s earnings were terrible, their cash got sucked up, and the CEO is out. …
Full disclosure, I hate shopping at Bed, Bath and Beyond. It makes me angry. That has prevented me from actually acting on this investment. But I wanted to present it …
Quick idea today: I am looking at Service Properties Trust (SVC). I think the idea is interesting and there is a catalyst. Here’s the situation: Company Overview: SVC is an …
Vimeo stock collapsed following the spin from IAC. That caught my attention, I read some of their calls, but I never really dug in. Then, in early January, I tweeted …
When I look around at the risks facing the market expectation, there is one main concern I have. The Bullwhip Effect. via GIPHY We saw a massive “destocking” of inventories …
In my ’22 outlook piece, I said I am bullish on auto supplier stocks: When do you have recession levels of production, but demand has already improved drastically? Even if …
I had a pretty good 2021. $SPY was up about 28% this year and I am up about 33% in my PA. My PA is a bit different than what …
L Brands officially spun off Victoria Secret and now Bath & Body Works (BBWI) is an independent company. This is great news to me as I think BBWI is a …
I have a picks-and-shovels play on semiconductors. While it may not look “optically” cheap, I think Entegris can compound earnings at a very fast rate thanks to the secular growth …
There are certain businesses that investors have washed their hands of: Retailers, OEM auto suppliers, anything in the way of ESG… many others… And this trade probably worked well for …
I wrote previously about companies Berkshire Hathaway could potentially buy. One of those options actually was acquired, just not by BRK. But I think Allison Transmission ($ALSN) is another strong …
American Axle is a crappy company. But I currently view that we are going to see a large increase in auto production to (i) meet demand which we are unable …
As everyone I am sure is aware, container shipping rates right now are astronomical. The re-opening of the economy and associated supply-chain bottlenecks has created a situation where people will …
Quick one, but the closed-end fund HFRO looks like an interesting idea. It currently trades at $10.21, yet NAV is $13.84 as of last reporting. That is a 26% discount Food for Thought: Amazon Should Acquire Dollar General $AMZN $DG
Picture this: A long established direct to consumer business has committed to opening a significant amount of brick-and-mortar stores in 2021. Amidst the 2020 online fulfillment craze this company is …
I think LGIH stock is potential multi-bagger. Well, it already has been one, but I think it can do it again. When you add in solid growth, good demand fundamentals …
Looking around, it’s hard to find discounted, pandemic-impacted stocks. The pandemic is approaching its final chapter, so the market is clearly bidding up names that will benefit from a boost …
Market volatility creates awesome opportunities. Today, I’m going to be talking about a name I’ve followed for some time and actually currently own the stock. But I’m not talking about …