Featured
- Assessing the Age Old Question: Invest in Home Depot or Lowe’s? $HD $LOW
I’ve been studying Bill Ackman’s portfolio and strong performance so far in 2019 and it seems the hedge fund manager is getting back to his roots. Gone are the shorts in Herbalife and aggressive long in Valeant, and instead he has waved in a new era of “high-quality, simple, predictable, …
- Blackstone Selling CorePoint Shares. Should Investors Be Concerned? $CPLG
Announced on July 9th, Blackstone will be selling up to 17.7MM shares of CorePoint. That represents ~30% of the outstanding shares of CPLG. Should investors be concerned or even follow Blackstone with the sale? I think its best to put some historical context behind this: How did Blackstone end up …
- What is the market pricing in for Bayer’s glyphosate liability?
To say Bayer’s acquisition of Monsanto has not gone smoothly would be a significant understatement. Since Bayer closed the deal, lawsuits regard Monsanto’s “Roundup” have started to gain traction which has lead to the market trying to “price in” Bayer’s glyphosate liability. Roundup’s main active ingredient is glyphosate, an herbicide …
Recent Columns
- Stepping to the Sidelines on CorePoint ahead of Earnings $CPLG
While I typically view myself as a long-term investor, I also try to read the tea leaves and understand how a company’s fundamentals are shaping up. That way, I won’t be totally surprised when the company reports earnings. Sometimes, it makes sense to take signals appropriately and reduce a position …
- Eurozone Equities are NOT that Cheap $VGK $EZU $IEUR $IEV
Are European equities cheap? I keep hearing that European that they are cheap relative to the US at least. It follows then that because the US has outperformed so much over the past 10 years, there is bound to be a reversion to the mean. This chart is often thrown …
- Why I Think Okta Stock is Overvalued $OKTA
Why I think Okta is Overvalued
Personal Finance
Tax-loss harvesting is something I tend to think about after a strong year of equity returns. I find myself asking if I should reduce risk in some names or at least re-balance the portfolio. The problem is that this can create significant capital gains. That said, if you are like …
“Past performance is not indicative of future results” you say as you read this post. The markets are particularly tough to apply history to, though, because of the wide amount of factors involved. Interest rates, valuations, and broad based sentiment are very hard to control for. Imagine looking at the performance …
No surprises here, when volatility reared its head throughout 2018, the “safety” classes outperformed risk. That should make intuitive sense, especially when considering the S&P500s 18.7% return in 2017 (and 21.4% when including dividends). But as we all should know, it pays in the longer term to have some diversification. …
Market Recap
- Market Recap: Diverging Signals Among Asset Classes
Well this is odd. The S&P hit all time highs again, but rates have plummeted in response to (i) the Fed lowering rates and (ii) fear and uncertainty over trade wars, real wars with Iran, and the broader economic cycle. With the uncertainty, and with interest rates moving lower, the …
- Should Investors be Baking in a Rate Cut from the Fed?
Although the market was a little shaky after the Fed spoke on Wednesday, the S&P500 ended the week flat-to-up thanks to Friday, May 3rd’s rebound. According to the CME website, the odds of a rate cut (or the Fed lowering interest rates) are actually around 47% by Dec 2019 and …
- Market Recap: S&P Earnings are Halfway There + Unicorn Sightings
Market Recap for the week ended April 26th, 2019. Facebook and Amazon earnings, S&P valuation, and more Unicorn sightings